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Outbreak in California in November ??

Discussion in 'COVID-19' started by Edward K, Apr 9, 2020.

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  1. Edward K

    Edward K DI Senior Member Veteran Navy

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    A new study from Stanford University puts the possibility of Covid-19 being in California as early as November. This relates to Dumaguete because Chinese tourists which in november were arriving in California normally about 8000 per day, some direct from Wuhan, caused Dumaguete's first problems in January. Two friends in California, one after a weekend in Las Vegas, reported rough flu illnesses in dec and jan, amid reports of an "early flu season." They have since talked to friends who had that same experience with many symptoms similar to Covid. Half a dozen sick folks among my few friends would translate to thousands or more state-wide, but few deaths, which if they did happen could have been attributed to other causes or just "bad flu."


    https://www.ksbw.com/article/new-st...s-WCstMJuRn7oFG-5SbrOObVZ__ja-W1MqeJulpFk0Ivs
     
  2. Rye83

    Rye83 with pastrami Admin Secured Account Highly Rated Poster SC Connoisseur Veteran Army

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    No such information has been confirmed. The study is currently underway and no data has been released. Pure speculation.
    "The team tested 3,200 people at three Bay Area locations on Saturday using an antibody test for COVID-19 and expect to release results in the coming weeks. The data could help to prove COVID-19 arrived undetected in California much earlier than previously thought."
     
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    Edward K

    Edward K DI Senior Member Veteran Navy

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    Bad news, good news (from 4/18, yesterday)...

    <<In a startling finding, new Stanford research reveals between 48,000 and 81,000 people in Santa Clara County alone may already have been infected by the coronavirus by early April — that’s 50 to 85 times more than the number of official cases at that date. (ED: extrapolated from analyzed tests)

    The estimate comes from a first-in-the-nation community study of newly available antibody tests that suggest how widespread the invisible — and perhaps benign — companion has been in the Bay Area’s hardest-hit county. Not only do the numbers show how the U.S.’s severe shortage of testing led to a profound undercount of COVID-19 cases, they indicate the virus is far less deadly than believed.>>

    https://www.mercurynews.com/2020/04...county-residents-infected-stanford-estimates/


    https://ktla.com/news/california/st...han-testing-identified-in-santa-clara-county/
     
  4. Rye83

    Rye83 with pastrami Admin Secured Account Highly Rated Poster SC Connoisseur Veteran Army

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    :cautious: Great, Facebook moms. The most reliable and unbiased source of information.
    :meh: And were these white women in a higher socioeconomic status and have access quality healthcare? Did they adjust the numbers for that as well?
     
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