TD coming

• The Global Typhoon Forecast Models (GTFM) are predicting this system to become a Tropical Cyclone within the next 24 to 48 hours and shall track generally westward towards Western Micronesia. The forecast confidence is currently at HIGH.
• The Day 03 Forecast shows LPA 93W as a Tropical Storm (TS) entering the southeastern border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on Sunday morning, Feb 11, with a medium forecast confidence.
• The Day 04 Forecast shows the system making landfall as a TS or Severe Tropical Storm (STS) along Caraga Region on Monday Evening (Feb 12) or Early Tuesday Morning (Feb 13). The confidence of this 4-day forecast is currently low.
• LPA 93W is still too far to directly affect any part of the Philippines.
• This 24-hour StormWatch Update will be replaced with a 12-hrly Tropical Cyclone Updates once the LPA develops into a Tropical Cyclone with a serious threat to the Philippine Islands.

 

(Tues morning): Had 2.1" rain in last 24 hrs up near the airport, drizzling now. Still due thru the Bohol Sea tonight, looks like elementary schools closed already...

 

malatapay, zamboanguita reporting:

i measured .64'' at 6am, mostly from an overnite rain which turned to a fine drizzle (dry rain) around 6/7am and continued until around 10am when it started raining cats and dogs.

 

Mustn't be much up in the mountains yet mate as the river is not even flowing here when I was out at the pump around an hour ago.

 

Getting closer by the Wind Map, looks like it will have some strong winds also when it reaches here;

earth :: a global map of wind, weather, and ocean conditions

 

(8:00 PM) at 7:28 pm, NDRRMC issued a Red Heavy Rainfall Warning..
(7:30 PM) Measured 2.0" rain since about 2 PM. and it ain't done yet, still raining (near the airport). Still looks like the center will pass pretty close, North or South, ?? Anybody seen a later map ???

(edit): (2:55pm): Rappler said BASYANG's down to a Tropical Depression

 

Hey Davy; 2.0 " in 5 hours is still WET to this newbie (1-1/2 yrs). Front yard (rental) and street still have 3" of water near City Mall (8:15 pm), but you're right, it's tapering off.. <grin>