• The Global Typhoon Forecast Models (GTFM) are predicting this system to become a Tropical Cyclone within the next 24 to 48 hours and shall track generally westward towards Western Micronesia. The forecast confidence is currently at HIGH.
• The Day 03 Forecast shows LPA 93W as a Tropical Storm (TS) entering the southeastern border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on Sunday morning, Feb 11, with a medium forecast confidence.
• The Day 04 Forecast shows the system making landfall as a TS or Severe Tropical Storm (STS) along Caraga Region on Monday Evening (Feb 12) or Early Tuesday Morning (Feb 13). The confidence of this 4-day forecast is currently low.
• LPA 93W is still too far to directly affect any part of the Philippines.
• This 24-hour StormWatch Update will be replaced with a 12-hrly Tropical Cyclone Updates once the LPA develops into a Tropical Cyclone with a serious threat to the Philippine Islands.