Best Posts in Thread: Covid spread comparison

Philpots · 23 sep 2020

djfinn6230 zei: ↑

The chart is difficult to explain; I don’t know what the data on “cases” ratios are really saying; I do not know much about the test philosophies. For a simple example, if a country tends to test only those people showing symptoms, of course such testing will bring out more positive cases than testing done on a purely random basis across the population. Who knows, (pardon the pun and WHO really doesn’t know), for many countries it may be a mix.

But the one outcome that is free of bias is the total amount of covid deaths in a given country but even there we must assume no bias towards designating deaths as being due to covid for financial reimbursement purposes from government aid programs.

The other factor that is free of bias is total population.

And deaths per total population is, in addition to being the root of our concerns, probably a very good measurement. It may be the most important measurement, all factors considered.

From the chart I am seeing maximum covid death rates in these countries of 700 per million. Many countries are much less.

When I divide 700 by 1,000,000 I get .0007 or .07%.

The number .07% is still very high because we are talking about “deaths”.

I suspect, but have no cites, that it might be similar to motorcycle death rates here. Or perhaps lung cancer or liver disease? Something to be concerned about, YES, but cause for panic NO.

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Who is panicking? Just being cautious as one should. Why you have to belittle this all the time and bring in words such a panic or scared etc I fail to undefstand.

Dutchie · 22 sep 2020

Rye83 zei: ↑

What percentage of the population has been tested for each country?
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Here's the top 20 testing countries/territories (per capita).
For stats on more countries, go here: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
And yes, many countries have problems with testing capacity, and that might very well distort the "confirmed cases" comparison to some extent.
On the other hand, it can not be said that testing more leads to a proportional increase in "confirmed cases".
Just compare Denmark and USA, Denmark tested twice as many as the USA on a per capita basis, but has only 1/5 the number of confirmed cases.

Rye83 · 22 sep 2020

Dutchie zei: ↑

Here's a comparison that's fairly up to date regarding where most of our countries of origin stand relative to the Philippines.
The further to the right in the graph, the higher the confirmed number of cases per capita, the higher a country sits in the graph, the faster things are getting worse.

Bekijk bijlage 17967

Here's where the Philippines sits relative to other countries (again per capita) in East Asia. Vietnam, Cambodia, Thailand, China and Brunei all have hardly any new cases, so they're crowding out the bottom left corner of the graph.
Bekijk bijlage 17968
Lastly, a graph of the worst hit countries on the planet, worst hit defined as either having >2% infected or having high numbers of new cases (per capita). Again, I added the Philippines for comparison, not because it would rank as "worst hit".
Bekijk bijlage 17969
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What percentage of the population has been tested for each country?

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Best Posts in Thread: Covid spread comparison

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