It wasn't all that hard to see these rolling blackouts (or rotating brownouts if you will, or manual load dropping, it's all the same thing) coming from afar. The Philippines has been struggling with too low electricity production for quite some time, and the Visayas has been the weakest kid on the block for considerable time. Apparently there are 19 power plants in the Visayas that have gone on forced outage, while 16 others have been operating at derated capacities—a reduction in the maximum electricity a plant can safely generate due to equipment issues, maintenance, high ambient temperatures, or other operational limitations. This entire bad development is nothing really new though, it all started going downhill as far back as 5 years ago. According to the National Grid Corporation of the Philippines (NGCP), these forced outages and derated operations have taken a combined total of 1,055.8 megawatts (MW) of generating capacity out of the Visayas grid. As a result, the Visayas grid increasingly came to depend/rely on electricity imports from Mindanao, as much as 450 Mw daily. Alas, recently the power situation in Mindanao has worsened also, which means less electricity available for export to the Visayas. And then to add insult to injury the condition of the high voltage network is also not good at all to put it mildly. The problem with those high voltage lines tripping every now and then is that when that occurs it often also forces an electricity plant stoppage. Looking forward it seems to me (but I am by no means an expert in these matters) that it is difficult to envisage substantial improvement within the time it would take to build a couple new plants. At the same time the developments on the solar farms and wind farms front seem to have stalled, with foreign investors having mostly withdrawn. Moreover there is considerable noise being generated about plans to expand data centers in the country. These data centers are notorious for their excessive power consumption, so I'm scratching my head wondering how these are going to get powered. Lastly the mayhem in the Middle East will at the very least serve to keep energy prices high for considerable time. This includes LNG, still a major component in generating electricity in the Philippines.