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  1. mokum

    mokum DI Senior Member

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    • The Global Typhoon Forecast Models (GTFM) are predicting this system to become a Tropical Cyclone within the next 24 to 48 hours and shall track generally westward towards Western Micronesia. The forecast confidence is currently at HIGH.
    • The Day 03 Forecast shows LPA 93W as a Tropical Storm (TS) entering the southeastern border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on Sunday morning, Feb 11, with a medium forecast confidence.
    • The Day 04 Forecast shows the system making landfall as a TS or Severe Tropical Storm (STS) along Caraga Region on Monday Evening (Feb 12) or Early Tuesday Morning (Feb 13). The confidence of this 4-day forecast is currently low.
    • LPA 93W is still too far to directly affect any part of the Philippines.
    • This 24-hour StormWatch Update will be replaced with a 12-hrly Tropical Cyclone Updates once the LPA develops into a Tropical Cyclone with a serious threat to the Philippine Islands.
     
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