The Next Typhoon Heading This Way?

if you look at the original post of this thread, the graphic updates itself

 

Here is another view in miles per hour for those that are metrically challenged. :D



For low lying beach areas and along the mouths of rivers.

High and low tide times in Dumaguete, Negros Oriental

 

That looks very similar to "Sendong", at the time we knew also about 10 days before where it started in the Pacific...

 

BOPHA WILL BE NAMED PABLO AS IT ENTERS THE PHILIPPINES AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY TONIGHT.
Pagasa projects it will be 60 km north of Dumaguete Wednesday. Hope it takes a sharper north turn.

Typhoon “PABLO” is expected to be at 660 km East of Hinatuan, Surigao del Sur by tomorrow morning. By Tuesday morning, it will be at 140 km East Notheast of Hinatuan or 230 km East Souteast of Surigao City and at 60 km North of Dumaguete City by Wednesday morning.

 

Looks terrible...CIMSS has it tracking a bullseye on Bohol, bullseye on Cebu City, bullseye on Bacolod and Iloilo City...with sustained winds in the 200kmh area when it gets there. A pre-Christmas major disaster...it'll wreck Cebu City. CIMSS has hardly varied that track for the last couple days...swing it a few miles north or south....but it's been consistent bad news.

 

Looks like we are going to get hit...Stock up on Emperador and Coke.......

 

Looks like it is still turning North. Woohoo! From a direct hit to a close call.....maybe. It's not over yet!

 

hmm for me it looks more the track moved south and almost hits Dumaguete direct now...

 

It sure does look like we will be close to the centre of it and the winds will be much stronger than the tropical storm last year, this is still a typhoon. Worse still it looks like it will hit us after dark which will catch many people by surprise just as happened in CDO and Iligan last year. Lets hope that all the people living near he flood plain are warned to evacuate in time.